THIRD FINGER FUND LLC by, @BMDPicksHorses

Brandon M. Dolin

Website of @BMDPICKSHORSES BETS AND BETTING ADVICE. Soon to be sole manager of The 3rd Finger Fund LLC a NV Betting Entity ; Horse Racing & Sports Betting.

Showing all posts tagged "Horse Workouts"

Malibu Moon Filly Tops F-T Pinhook Prospects

Fasig-Tipton's October sale of yearlings begins at 10 a.m. EDT Oct. 24 in LexingtonFasig-Tipton's October sale of yearlings begins at 10 a.m. EDT Oct. 24 in Lexington Fasig-Tipton Photo

Malibu Moon Filly Tops F-T Pinhook Prospects

by Ron Mitchell @BH_RMitchell


Malibu Moon   filly, who likely could have been in the Fasig-Tipton Saratoga yearling sale had she not been dealt a setback, is the most expensive previously sold yearling in the upcoming Fasig-Tipton October sale in Lexington, which occurs Oct. 24-26.

Produced from the stakes-winning More Than Ready   mare In the Slips, the filly consigned by Eaton Sales as Hip 11, was purchased at last year's Keeneland November sale for $220,000 by trainer Gary Contessa on behalf of a client for the purpose of reselling her as a yearling. The filly was bred in Kentucky by her Keeneland consignor, Hunter Valley Farm, and Beechwood Farming.

"She is a lovely filly," said Eaton's Reiley McDonald. "She would have brought between $400,000-$600,000 had she gone to Saratoga."

The second highest-priced pinhook prospect at Fasig-Tipton is a Bodemeister   colt consigned by Hidden Brook as Hip 141 purchased by McMahon & Hill Bloodstock for $170,000 when offered by Brookdale Sales at Keeneland November. The colt is out of theStevie Wonderboy mare Made to Love Her, winner of the Moccasin Stakes and runner-up in the grade II Santa Ynez.

Pioneerof the Nile   colt consigned as Hip 926 by Betz Thoroughbreds, as agent is the third-highest-priced October pinhook. The colt, a half brother to two stakes winners and from the family of multiple group I winner and sire Agnes World, was bought by Clear Ridge Stables for $145,000 at Keeneland November when consigned by Four Star Sales.

Another Pioneerof the Nile colt, Hip 808, was a $140,000 purchase by Kings Landing Purchases from the Chilly Bleak Farm group as a short yearling at this year's Keeneland January sale. Consigned by Paramount Sales, the colt is from the female family of grade I winners Bellamy Road and Gold Fever.

A colt by The Factor   and a Liaison   filly, each purchased for $110,000, round out the list of top October pinhook prospects. Consigned by Dromoland Farm as Hip 297, the colt, produced from a half sister to grade II winner and stakes producer Dream About, was bought by Targosyen Equine in January.

The Liaison filly, Hip 716, was purchased by Preston Stable and Prestonwood Racing from the Four Star Sales consignment at last year's Keeneland November sale. She is from the family of multiple grade I winner Videogenic.

As the last of the nine yearling-only sales in North America this year, the October sale is the final opportunity for breeders or pinhookers to either sell, face the prospect of incurring additional overhead costs by waiting until next year's juvenile auctions, or send them to race.

The most expensive RNA in the catalog is Hip 942, a son of Tapit   out of the grade III-winning Cherokee Run mare Cherokee Queen, an 11-race winner who earned $628,312 and the dam of stakes-placed Entertainer. The chestnut colt is consigned by South Point Sales Agency, agent, which also had him in this year's Saratoga sale when he was bought back on a final bid of $500,000.

FASIG-TIPTON OCTOBER SALE
TOP PINHOOK PROSPECTS
HipDescriptionConsignorPrevious Sale Price/Sale
11f., Malibu Moon—In the Slips, by More Than ReadyEaton Sales, agt.$220,000/KeeNov
141c., Bodemeister—Made to Love Her, by Stevie WonderboyHidden Brook, agt.$170,000/KeeNov
926c., Pioneerof the Nile—Celestic, by Sky ClassicBetz Thoroughbreds, agt.$145,000/KeeNov
808c., Pioneerof the Nile—Aronia, by MutakddimParamount Sales, agt.$140,000/KeeJan
297c., The Factor—Peggarty, by SpeightstownDromoland Farm, agt.$110,000/KeeJan
716f., Liaison—Voodoo Lounge, by Pleasant TapFour Star Sales, agt.$110,000/KeeNov

Entries for Thoroughbred Horse Race Handicapping @ Predicteform.com

Race Entries

Welcome to Predicteform's Entries Page. To access race entries please register now.

Race entries are easily sortable by track, day and race. Data provided for each race includes:

  • Race conditions
  • Available wagers
  • Horse, post position and wagering number
  • Morning line odds
  • Jockey
  • Trainer

Sign up to view race entries.



Note: Race entry information is updated twice daily.

Why Predicteform.com?

You know how your horse ran last time out, but Predicteform's Pace Figures and Form Cycle Patterns can tell you how your horse will run today.



Predicteform knows when your horse could be sitting on a big and improved race or when it is likely to regress. Predicteform has multiple Pace Figure numbers at the key points of a race to tell you which horses can take the lead and last.



Predicteform Pace Figures include proprietary pattern symbols specifically designed to indicate improvement or regression, from second time starters to experienced claimers, Maidens to Graded Stakes. There is no additional research required. Discover the power of Form Cycle Patterns at Predicteform.com.

About Predicteform.com

Privacy |  Customer Support |  Sitemap

© 2014-2015 Predicteform, LLC. All rights reserved.

All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service

Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.

Lost Raven Makes the Grade in Miss Preakness | BloodHorse.com

Repole Stable's Lost Raven showed a new dimension May 20 at Pimlico Race Course and it paid off for her first graded stakes victory.

On or near the front in all seven of her starts prior to Friday, the homebred Uncle Mo   filly raced in eighth in the 10-filly field in the Adena Springs Miss Preakness (gr. III) field early (13 1/2 lengths back after a quarter in :22.69 and 9 1/2 back after a half in :45.94) and still had to make up five lengths in sixth at the top of the stretch. 

But she made up the ground quickly. Under jockey John Velazquez, the Todd Pletcher-trained filly blew by pacesetter Quick Release with fellow closer One True Kiss and prevailed by three-quarters of a length, finishing off the six-furlong, $100,000 race in 1:11.43. Watch Video

Last time out, Lost Raven won the six-furlong Cicada Stakes at Aqueduct Racetrack March 26 by leading at every point of call.

"I was a little concerned, because she's never been that far back in her career," Pletcher said. "I knew that (:22.69) at Pimlico is flying, so I was hoping the fractions were fast enough to allow her to come from behind."

Off as the 7-2 second choice Friday, Lost Raven paid $9.80, $5.20, and $3.80 across the board. One True Kiss brought $14.20 and $8.60, and Quick Release delivered $9 to show.

She's All Ready finished an even fourth, followed by Right There, Moment Is Right, Ultra Brat, R Girls a Charmer, Simple Surprise, and Banree to complete the order of finish.

Lost Raven was bred in Kentucky, out of the Elusive Quality mare Elusive Raven, and has a 4-1-1 record from eight starts with $290,350 in earnings.

 

Chrome' Takes Awesome Again with Ease

California Chrome wins the grade I Awesome Again Stakes with ease, remains undefeated in six stakes starts this yearCalifornia Chrome wins the grade I Awesome Again Stakes with ease, remains undefeated in six stakes starts this year Benoit Photo
'Chrome' Takes Awesome Again with Ease

by Jeremy Balan @BH_JBalan

California Chrome  ’s winning margin in the $300,000 Awesome Again (gr. I) was 2 1/4 lengths over Dortmund, but anyone who watched knows better.

Under pressure on the outside by Dortmund through most of the 1 1/8-mile test, California Chrome clicked off very fast fractions, inched away from his rival in the backstretch with a little asking from jockey Victor Espinoza, opened up a clear lead in the turn, and galloped geared down to the wire in the final strides.

With a professional break from the rail, the 5-year-old son of Lucky Pulpit   trained by Art Sherman set fractions of :22.76, :46.08, and 1:09.28 through six furlongs. He covered a mile in 1:34.45 and finished off the race in 1:48.07 to clinch his sixth victory of the year.

"When he gets in front, he's a hard horse to get by, and I knew he'd wear Dortmund down with the fractions the way they were," Sherman said. "He took Dortmund's game plan away from him. He tried and ran a hell of a race, but you're looking at maybe the best horse in the world right now."

Essentially a match race from the start, the top pair opened up 10 1/2 lengths on the field after four furlongs of running and 12 lengths through six. The only horse who made up any significant ground wasWin the Space, who came in 4 1/2 lengths behind Dortmund.

"He's on his game right now," Espinoza said. "(Dortmund) wasn't a threat today. Maybe the first quarter-mile, but after that, I just kept pulling away, which only helped me get some breathing room between us and the rest of the field."

"Second-best—no excuses," said Dortmund's jockey, Rafael Bejarano. "The winner had a lot of pressure on him and that was the only chance I had."

Off as the 2-5 favorite, California Chrome paid $2.80, $2.10, and $2.10 across the board. Dortmund paid $2.20 and $2.10, and Win the Space delivered $2.80 to show. Hard Aces came in fourth and Soi Phet followed to complete the order of finish.Hoppertunity and El Huerfano were scratched.

Still undefeated in 2016, California Chrome is now eligible for a $1 million bonus if he wins the $6 million Breeders' Cup Classic (gr. I) Nov. 5 at Santa Anita. The bonus was offered to any horse who could sweep the Pacific Classic (gr. I), Awesome Again, and Breeders' Cup Classic.


California Chrome now has more than $13.4 million in earnings and a 15-3-1 record from 24 starts, including seven grade I wins.

Stakes Preview: The Vosburgh is A. P. Indian’s Race To Lose. Will He Show Up?


Stakes Preview: The Vosburgh is A. P. Indian’s Race To Lose. Will He Show Up?



DontLetTheGamePassYouByfortfus

>>Go to the PPs for The G1 Vosburgh | Post Time 5:11 EDT Saturday

It’s been a few years since we’ve had a dominant older Grade 1 dirt sprinter in this country, which makes A. P. Indian a welcome presence. He is undoubtedly the leader of this division after sweeping both Grade 1 sprints for older horses at Saratoga, running his winning streak to five. If he shows up, he’s a likely winner of this race—but will he show up? His connections have cast doubt over whether they would run him over a sloppy track, and there is plenty of rain in the forecast for Friday and Saturday. If he remains on the sidelines, this race really opens up.

Let’s go through the field:

#1, Weekend Hideaway (20/1): This horse has been plagued by inconsistency but seems to have gotten over those issues this year, as he’s put together four straight solid performances, including three wins against New York-breds. However, he was no match for X Y Jet at Gulfstream, or even Stallwalkin’ Dude in this race last year, so it would appear that he’s a cut below the best runners at this level. That said, he would be one worth moving up if the track comes up wet.

#2, Holy Boss (4/1): After reeling off four straight victories towards the first half of his three-year-old campaign, he’s been winless since last year’s Amsterdam at Saratoga. He’s hardly been disgraced in any of those races, and some might even argue that he’s improved as a four-year-old. However, the fact remains that he’s been in position to win in four straight races and just has not been able to seal the deal. Today his task is complicated by an inside draw in a race that features other speed and stalking types drawn to his outside. He resented getting stuck down inside in the True North two back, and he could be in for a similar trip here.

#3, Joking (8/1): After struggling to get through his allowance conditions for what seemed like an eternity, Joking has come on suddenly this year at the age of seven. Charlton Baker is having a fantastic year on the NYRA circuit and this runner’s success in the Grade 2 True North has to be considered his crowning achievement. That said, he missed some races over the summer and now must be set to top even his prior performance while returning from a layoff dating back to mid-June. The hurdles are significant, but he does love Belmont Park and ran a competitive speed figure when last seen. I’ll be using him underneath in exactas and trifectas.

#4, Green Gratto (30/1):

It’s hard to imagine that this admirable old warrior will be able to stick with X Y Jet early and still be around at the finish. He’s a pace presence (our Pace Projector has him pressing the early pace), but probably not much else.

#5, A. P. Indian (1/1):


There is little to criticize when analyzing this gelding’s recent form. He’s equally effective at distances ranging from six to seven furlongs; he can race on the lead or come from off the pace; and he’s run speed figures that are simply a few points higher than those of almost all of his competitors. In winning 10 of his 16 lifetime starts, he’s finished out of the money only twice. However, one of those subpar performances did come over a sloppy track in last year’s Phoenix at Keeneland. It’s possible that he needs a fast track to produce his very best effort, and he’s unlikely to get that on Saturday. However, if that is the case, his connections have indicated that he’d be unlikely to run. If the track is anything close to fast and he shows up, I’m not trying to beat him.

#6, X Y Jet (7/2): In many ways, this horse is the real wild card in the race. He is the only runner in this field to have consistently run speed figures that suggest he could give A. P. Indian a scare. However, he has not been seen since late March, and his connections picked an awfully ambitious spot in which to bring him back. Speed is the name of the game for this son of Kantharos, and he will try to take them as far as he can up front. However, he’s never encountered a horse that can finish up like A. P. Indian, and I wonder if an early tussle with Green Gratto could leave him somewhat vulnerable late. It’s also fair to wonder whether he can produce his best form in New York. Jorge Navarro’s runners have been effective at Monmouth and Gulfstream, but he gets only a 54 trainer rating on the NYRA circuit. Perhaps his Golden Shaheen effort is supposed to ease those concerns, but I still need to see it here to believe it.

#7, Stallwalkin’ Dude (8/1):


He nearly won this race last year after boldly forging to the lead past midstretch under Irad Ortiz. However, the game Rock Fall had just enough left in reserve to battle back for the victory. Things have not gone smoothly since then, as he’s had his ups and downs and seemed to completely tail off during the spring and early summer of this year. However, he got back on track at Saratoga and earned another Grade 1 placing in the Forego. He was never going to beat A. P. Indian that day, but he still ran a creditable race. Now he shortens up to arguably his best distance while in some of the best form of his career. I don’t anticipate that he’ll beat A. P. Indian, but he’d become a major player in the event that the favorite scratches.

#8, Dannie’s Deceiver (20/1):

If the surface does indeed come up sloppy, it figures to help this guy more than anyone else. In three runs over sealed tracks, he’s earned two wins and a second, which is better than he’s done in all of his fast track races. It would have seemed unlikely that he could compete against a field of this quality just a few months ago, but he’s made huge strides over his past few starts. He defeated a strong allowance field on Belmont Stakes day in June, and then made an eye-catching run from far back to nearly win in July. He was still dismissed at 40/1 in the Forego—his stakes debut—but he managed to pass more than half the field while rallying from last to be fourth. The fact that he was able to accomplish such a feat over a fast track speaks to the form that he’s in right now. I take it as a positive sign that Jose Ortiz climbs aboard, and the stiff 6-furlong workout that he put in a few days ago would appear to indicate that he’s feeling good coming into this race. If there’s one horse in this race that could surprise a lot of people and step up to hit the board—or even win, if A. P. Indian is absent—I believe it’s him.

THE PLAY

If A. P. Indian (#5) runs, he’s my top pick, but I think there are a few runners that could be used underneath him in exactas and trifectas, including Stallwalkin’ Dude (#7) and Dannie’s Deceiver (#8). If the favorite is scratched, then Dannie’s Deceiver would inherit the role of my top selection.

With A. P. Indian:

Win/Place: 8

Exacta: 5 with 7,8

Trifecta: 5 with 7,8 with 1,2,3,6,7,8

Trifecta: 5 with 1,2,3,6 with 7,8

Without A. P. Indian:

Win/Place: 8

Exacta Key Box: 8 with 1,2,3,6,7

Trifecta: 7,8 with 2,3,7,8 with 1,2,3,6,7,8

TIMEFORMUS SATURDAY BELMONT PARK



Race 1:


Whitegate (#1)

Was steadied in traffic when attempting to move up the rail last time.
Faces a much easier field today.
Charlton Baker gets a 100 trainer rating with runners coming off layoffs of this length.
10/1 on ML
———–
Race 6:

Reconsider It (#10)

Was done in by a wide trip in her debut.
Was hindered by a slow pace last time.
Gets a huge rider switch to Junior Alvarado.
12/1 on ML

Stakes Preview: In the G1 Beldame at Belmont, Don’t Overlook This Longshot


This Beldame features three Grade 1 winners, in the form of Apple Blossom winner Forever Unbridled, surprise Test winner Paola Queen, and Mother Goose winner Off the Tracks. However, it’s still hard to shake the feeling that this has come up as one of the weaker Grade 1 races run in this division. The absence of stars like Songbird, Beholder, Stellar Wind, and Cavorting is certainly felt here.

The Pace Projector is predicting that the two aforementioned three-year-old fillies, Paola Queen (#6) and Off the Tracks (#7), will show the way early as they stretch out after focusing on sprint races this summer. However, I wonder if either or both of their riders will be somewhat more conservative than this projection suggests, given concerns about stamina over this nine furlong distance. If that’s the case, the door could be left open for Penwith (#4) to take up the early lead under the ever-vigilant Javier Castellano.

Let’s go through the field:

#1, Tiger Ride (15/1): She’s actually run pretty well on dirt and put to rest any concerns about whether she could get this distance with her runner-up finish in a restricted stakes at Saratoga this summer. She deserves some credit for making the first run into a fast pace (color-coded in red) on that occasion in a race that ultimately fell apart late. However, she still lost to Rachel’s Temper and that one is hardly a serious threat to win this race. At best, she’s worth considering for the bottom rungs of trifectas and superfectas.

#2, Forever Unbridled (1/1):

The Beldame is this filly’s race to lose and it’s as simple as that. Some argue that she should have won the Grade 1 Ogden Phipps back in June when she got buried down on the rail by Joel Rosario and had to wait for room before getting out into the clear too late in the stretch. I cannot make any such excuses for her last time, when she appeared poised to draw off at the top of the stretch in the Personal Ensign and just seemed to hang late before getting run down by Cavorting. That said, none of the fillies that defeated her in those races is in the starting gate today. If she produces the kind of performance that she’s capable of putting forth, she is supposed to win. However, if you’re looking for any chinks in her armor, you could point to a pace situation that is somewhat muddled. Joel Rosario got in trouble taking her too far back off the pace two back, and he must avoid making that same mistake again.

#3, Rachel’s Temper (10/1): While I respect the year that Charlton Baker has been having, I still think he’s asking a lot of this mare. This is a horse that really struggled to get through her allowance conditions and fell into an absolutely perfect setup sitting well back off a fast pace when she finally earned a stakes win last time out. She is highly unlikely to get the same scenario here, and I’ll be surprised if she’s a factor.

#4, Penwith (10/1):

What happened to this mare’s early speed? At one time, that was her greatest weapon, but it seems that her riders have made no attempt to show any early initiative in recent starts. However, I’m thinking that might change today. Javier Castellano knows how to read the past performances and I’m sure he’ll take notice that Penwith has produced some of her best results when she’s allowed to rattle long on the front end through steady fractions. If John Velazquez and Luis Saez on the two outside fillies are a little concerned about stamina going this nine-furlong distance, they may be content to let Javier take up the running from the inside. So can Penwith actually wire the field? I don’t think it’s out of the question. After all, it’s not as if her speed figures are that much slower than the top contenders’ in this race, and she figures to appreciate cutting back in distance after two straight races at a mile and a quarter. Her performance in the Royal Delta from last winter would give her a major chance here, and even her Delaware Handicap puts her in the mix despite the fact that race dynamics worked against her there. I believe it’s significant that Kiaran McLaughlin is taking a shot in this race, and she’s my long shot selection.

#5, Going for Broke (6/1): She barely beat Rachel’s Temper two back and I’m not convinced that she topped that performance despite earning a Grade 1 placing in her next start. I wonder if she’ll be overbet here because Songbird’s name shows up in her Alabama running line. That performance looks better in print than it does when watching the replay, as she got an absolutely perfect trip coming through on the rail around the far turn and still had trouble putting away the third place finisher, who was seemingly spent at the top of the stretch. I prefer others.

#6, Paola Queen (15/1): She never should have been 55/1 in the Test, but her win in that race was still a surprise. I generally love turnbacks and I have to believe that it was the shortened distance that allowed her to step up with her career-best performance last time. While she performed respectably enough in her three route attempts, she didn’t run fast enough in those races to compete against the likes of today’s older rivals. I’ll be surprised if she’s able to pull off the Grade 1 double here.

#7, Off the Tracks (5/2): There’s a lot to like about this filly, but I’m wondering if she’s a bit of a trap in this spot. Her odds are probably not going to be that much higher than those of Forever Unbridled, but I believe her older rival is a far more likely winner of this race. She obviously deserves accolades for her performance in the Test, which earned her a 123 speed figure—easily best in the field. That said, she was a turnback that day, just like Paola Queen, and she was not able to reproduce that form in the Prioress next time out. While she did earn a Grade 1 victory in the Mother Goose, she may have benefitted from a surface that was favoring inside speed on that occasion. Her lone race over a wet track was one of her worst, and there are still questions about her stamina. I’m not going to be shocked if she steps up and wins this race, but I don’t think a price around 5/2 or 3/1 would represent fair value. She’s somewhere in my play, but I prefer others on top.

THE PLAY

While I fully acknowledge that this is Forever Unbridled’s (#2) race to lose, I have to take a shot with Penwith (#4), given the expected value. I would bet her to win at odds of 8/1 or higher.

Win/Place: 4

Exacta Box: 2,4

Trifecta: 2,4 with 2,4 with ALL

Trifecta: 2,4 with 1,5,7 with 2,4

FULL GATE FOR RODEO DRIVE: GI Rodeo Drive S. Saturday, featuring a 14-horse scramble to seize a A Win and Youre In qualifying bid to the Nov. 5 GI Breeders Cup Filly and Mare Turf

FULL GATE FOR RODEO DRIVE
by Ben Massam

The brand-new Santa Anita turf course will play host to a contentious renewal of the GI Rodeo Drive S. Saturday, featuring a 14-horse scramble to seize a A Win and Youre In qualifying bid to the Nov. 5 GI Breeders Cup Filly and Mare Turf. Trainer Michael Stidham sends out 7- 2 morning-line favorite Zipessa (City Zip) to tackle 10 furlongs for the first time in her career. The chestnut recently attacked a quick pace and held on determinedly to finish third in Arlingtons GI Beverly D. S. Aug. 13. Zipessa figures to be on or near the lead again Saturday, and retains the services of Florent Geroux, who was aboard for her win in the GIII Dr. James Penney Memorial S. at Parx July 4.

Zipessa will likely have company from Avenge (War Front) near the front of the Rodeo Drive cavalry charge. Winner of the nine-furlong GII John C. Mabee S. at Del Mar Sept. 4, the dark bay--whose previous successesin Arcadia have come in turf sprints--will also confront the longest distance test of her career Saturday. Decked Out (Street Boss) represents the opposite end of the pace spectrum, doing her best work from the backfield. The sophomore recently made an eye-catching move on the turn and came up a head short when runner-up behind Harmonize (Scat Daddy) in the GI Del Mar Oaks Aug. 20. Bjorn Neilsen=s Real Smart (Smart Strike) looms as an intriguing longshot for trainer Graham Motion, who has enjoyed considerable success shipping turf runnersto Southern California. Confidently spotted at the Grade I level, the 4-year- old British import captured the GIII Robert G. Dick Memorial S. at Delaware Park July 9.


Saturday, Santa Anita Park, post time: 7:00 p.m. EDT
RODEO DRIVE S.-GI, $300,000, 3yo/up, f/m, 1 1/4mT
PP HORSE SIRE JOCKEY TRAINER ML

1 Keri Belle Empire Maker Arroyo, Jr. Shirreffs 15-1
2 Frenzified (GB) Yeats (Ire) Gonzalez Cassidy 10-1
3 Queen of The Sand (Ire) Footstepsinthsnd (GB) Blanc Gallagher 20-1
4 Avenge War Front Prat Mandella 6-1
5 Real Smart Smart Strike Van Dyke Motion 15-1
6 Tiz a Kiss Cee's Tizzy Talamo Baltas 20-1
7 Majestic Heat Unusual Heat Stevens Mandella 12-1
8 Fresh Feline K Kitten's Joy Sutherland Shirreffs 20-1
9 Generosidade (Uru) Nedawi (GB) Pereira Lobo 12-1
10 Nancy From Nairobi (GB) Sixties Icon (GB) Smith Sadler 10-1
11 Decked Out K Street Boss Desormeaux Desormeaux12-1
12 Zipessa K City Zip Geroux Stidham 7-2
13 Elektrum (Ire) High Chaparral (Ire) Espinoza Sadler 5-1
14 Sobradora Inc (Arg) Include Bejarano Callaghan 6-1

Accelerate coming into his own for Los Alamitos Derby

09/22/2016 10:50AM

Accelerate coming into his own for Los Alamitos Derby

Comments
Email
Benoit & Associates
Accelerate, ridden by Tyler Baze, wins the Shared Belief Stakes at Del Mar.

CYPRESS, Calif. – Accelerate, the winner of the Shared Belief Stakes at Del Mar last month, keeps jockey Tyler Baze active while they are in a race.

“You’ve got to let him know what’s going on," Baze said this week. “He’s just green. Once he puts it all together one of these days, he’ll be something special."

Accelerate was perfect at the Del Mar summer meeting, winning a maiden race July 28 and then the Shared Belief Stakes on Aug. 26. The next objective is Saturday’s $200,000 Los Alamitos Derby at 1 1/8 miles. The Grade 2 Los Alamitos Derby will be the longest and most prestigious race of Accelerate’s career, which began in mid-April.

:: LOS ALAMITOS DERBY: Get PPs, watch Saturday's card live

“I think this horse is growing up," said Baze.

Accelerate will be a strong favorite in the Los Alamitos Derby, the richest race of the track’s three-week September meeting. Purchased for $380,000 as a yearling, Accelerate is owned by Pete and Kosta Hronis and trained by John Sadler.

KEY CONTENDERS

Accelerate, by Lookin At Lucky

Last 3 Beyers: 93-93-82

◗ Accelerate lost his first three starts, all in sprints, including a second in a maiden race here in April in which Arrogate was third. Arrogate has won four subsequent starts, including the Grade 1 Travers Stakes at Saratoga on Aug. 27, and is a candidate for the Breeders’ Cup Classic at Santa Anita on Nov. 5.

◗ Accelerate’s Del Mar wins were at a mile. He beat maidens by 8 3/4 lengths and won the Shared Belief Stakes by a half-length over Semper Fortis, who is part of the Los Alamitos Derby field.

◗ The close finish in the Shared Belief Stakes served as a reminder to Baze that Accelerate is still developing. Baze said he needed to keep the colt focused in the race.

“He messes around a lot," he said. “When I broke his maiden, at the three-eighths pole I went to really riding him. I had to ride him hard to pay attention. He ran awesome that day. The light bulb was lit."

◗ Accelerate is most effective from a stalking position.

“I don’t think distance is a problem with him," said Baze, has been aboard Accelerate for all five of his starts. “From the very get-go, he’s been a horse that’s wanted to go two turns. He showed that the last couple of times he’s run."

Semper Fortis, by Distorted Humor

Last 3 Beyers: 92-81-64

◗ Semper Fortis had not raced in more than six months when he finished second at 14-1 in the Shared Belief Stakes. Purchased for $525,000 as a yearling, Semper Fortis won a maiden race for $62,500 claimers at Del Mar last November going five furlongs.

◗ Earlier this year, Semper Fortis won an optional claimer at a mile at Santa Anita and was a troubled sixth in the Grade 3 Sham Stakes.

◗ The Los Alamitos Derby will be the second start in a graded stakes for Semper Fortis. Trainer Doug O’Neill expects an improved effort following the Shared Belief.

“He got a little bit tired on the end," O’Neill said. “We’re assuming he’ll move forward off that. We’re right in the mix there."

DRF TRAINER PATTERNS CHURCHILL DOWNS

TRAINER PATTERNS
TrainerSts.1stW%$%AWP*Sprint*Route*Turf*Stretch-out*Turn back*1st Turf*1st Start*Off claim*Layoff 45 days*Layoff 120 days

Romans Dale 9 3 33.33 44.44 14.73 56/390 85/554 62/580 29/175 15/104 13/90 15/129 0/4 49/479 12/97
Hartman Chris 4 2 50.00 75.00 4.30 116/535 68/315 15/121 18/106 17/86 0/22 7/47 34/142 31/175 6/44
Von Hemel Donnie 5 2 40.00 40.00 25.60 55/396 65/456 22/127 15/134 17/85 7/45 12/108 0/1 28/194 6/63
McPeek Kenneth 6 2 33.33 33.33 8.90 38/248 95/576 36/342 18/117 16/78 12/109 13/136 0/8 28/229 9/81
Howard Neil 4 2 50.00 50.00 11.50 15/139 23/152 8/105 8/54 2/34 1/27 5/49 0/0 8/84 0/15
Blair Jordan 1 1 100.00 100.00 16.40 3/32 5/26 8/52 0/8 1/7 1/10 0/10 0/1 6/27 1/5
Hamilton Anthony Jr 1 1 100.00 100.00 30.80 8/61 9/57 1/27 4/21 2/18 0/5 0/7 0/0 4/48 1/18
Wilkes Ian 11 1 9.09 45.45 9.60 73/550 59/380 45/374 21/160 21/116 6/97 6/143 1/13 38/290 5/79
Cox Brad 7 1 14.29 42.86 5.20 104/438 92/333 88/305 22/94 19/81 20/69 19/97 38/135 64/257 10/62
Moquett Ron 4 1 25.00 75.00 47.40 69/566 51/346 9/70 16/108 15/96 2/24 6/69 4/30 39/288 5/62
Hofmans Grant 1 1 100.00 100.00 16.60 0/9 5/28 1/6 0/5 0/2 0/1 0/5 0/0 0/6 0/3
Hawley Wesley 2 1 50.00 50.00 12.60 43/246 36/203 11/99 9/58 8/46 2/25 6/39 4/17 8/104 2/28
Bradley William 4 1 25.00 75.00 8.60 28/259 29/200 39/384 10/100 7/73 5/78 3/100 0/9 20/138 4/47
Hale Ronald Jr 1 1 100.00 100.00 12.40 9/55 2/26 2/16 1/15 3/14 0/2 1/3 0/1 3/27 1/14
Anderson Doug 5 1 20.00 20.00 13.20 50/310 21/113 1/16 6/39 6/40 0/3 2/27 6/26 11/81 3/35
Dortch David 1 1 100.00 100.00 17.00 5/41 3/34 0/5 0/8 3/9 0/1 0/0 1/5 1/11 0/5
McGee Paul 5 1 20.00 40.00 6.40 18/150 18/106 5/86 5/41 3/30 0/23 0/29 1/5 8/90 0/20
Foley Gregory 4 1 25.00 75.00 8.20 30/256 12/67 16/155 3/36 4/29 2/37 3/42 2/19 13/144 1/26
Stall Albert Jr 2 1 50.00 50.00 7.80 81/417 58/259 31/224 21/111 16/82 3/55 19/123 0/2 59/271 13/65
Arnold George II 6 1 16.67 16.67 7.40 18/170 35/245 20/249 10/75 8/54 1/53 1/71 0/0 21/204 6/52
Montano Angel Sr 4 1 25.00 75.00 43.20 22/167 29/162 7/54 12/44 8/48 0/5 0/4 8/41 4/25 0/7
Asmussen Steven 9 1 11.11 66.67 7.20 431/2221 247/1317 159/940 64/389 44/295 22/201 68/416 40/231 190/1102 36/255
DiVito James 1 1 100.00 100.00 12.20 88/376 20/101 13/136 8/51 7/58 3/29 7/35 0/1 22/128 5/26
DePaz Horacio 1 0 .00 100.00 .00 2/9 3/11 9/31 2/7 1/2 2/6 3/9 0/0 3/15 1/8
Baca Roberto 1 0 .00 100.00 .00 9/36 5/23 0/7 2/9 0/7 0/1 0/5 1/1 1/10 1/8
Vashchenko Pavel 2 0 .00 50.00 .00 1/24 72/334 25/228 5/25 0/15 5/57 8/69 0/0 32/205 14/77
Walsh Brendan 2 0 .00 .00 .00 19/123 26/133 35/286 7/47 7/43 3/44 6/44 2/15 18/148 2/41
Sandmann III William 1 0 .00 .00 .00 19/91 4/22 1/2 0/6 0/5 0/1 2/3 0/0 2/20 0/3
Becker Scott 1 0 .00 100.00 .00 245/904 115/376 17/133 40/156 31/118 5/45 17/113 13/46 71/299 22/107
Kobiskie Dane 1 0 .00 .00 .00 64/337 25/147 33/214 9/73 14/55 8/68 8/92 14/65 28/155 11/53
Glyshaw Tim 3 0 .00 33.33 .00 77/538 53/418 22/187 8/110 12/95 4/30 0/50 8/64 17/124 7/40
Castaneda Marco 1 0 .00 .00 .00 26/180 5/59 5/33 0/34 3/28 2/9 0/17 1/8 2/32 0/12
Williamson Brian 3 0 .00 .00 .00 25/223 33/266 55/345 4/61 4/44 5/32 7/42 0/0 10/93 7/54
Gorder Kellyn 2 0 .00 .00 .00 62/368 70/370 28/221 27/129 18/99 4/48 14/98 2/20 29/224 6/66
Dorris Thomas 1 0 .00 .00 .00 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/1 0/0
Roberts Merrill 1 0 .00 .00 .00 18/225 2/53 0/12 1/22 2/27 0/5 0/20 0/2 2/43 0/16
Humphries Thomas 1 0 .00 .00 .00 5/45 3/41 3/20 0/9 2/9 0/3 0/10 0/0 4/30 0/10
Richard Chris 5 0 .00 40.00 .00 160/700 67/320 2/34 16/84 21/83 0/13 15/67 42/167 45/189 8/58
Michael Brian 1 0 .00 .00 .00 10/71 18/80 7/28 2/10 1/8 0/4 0/5 3/8 7/32 1/11
French Wayne 1 0 .00 .00 .00 1/23 0/8 0/12 0/9 1/7 0/3 0/3 0/2 0/9 0/5
Woodard Joe 2 0 .00 .00 .00 141/552 108/418 1/57 22/90 16/71 1/6 1/5 33/130 45/199 11/25
Boyce Michele 1 0 .00 .00 .00 24/130 8/63 30/221 1/35 3/32 2/21 4/23 0/1 14/104 3/42
Caldwell J 1 0 .00 100.00 .00 108/695 66/357 25/166 10/115 18/103 4/33 11/67 23/156 25/155 3/36
Denzik William Jr 1 0 .00 .00 .00 13/49 1/14 0/17 1/11 2/5 0/6 0/15 0/0 3/13 1/6
Maker Michael 5 0 .00 20.00 .00 136/647 159/834 321/1491 70/313 54/226 33/181 29/208 61/277 177/837 27/144
Sanner Daniel 1 0 .00 .00 .00 7/44 19/94 1/13 1/16 4/16 0/2 0/4 1/8 1/15 0/8
Dupuy Patrick 1 0 .00 .00 .00 8/39 0/7 5/27 0/4 1/3 1/5 2/2 1/3 5/21 0/2
Barnett Bobby 2 0 .00 .00 .00 5/86 5/51 2/35 2/22 0/16 1/14 0/11 0/6 1/30 1/15
Casse Mark 7 0 .00 42.86 .00 190/969 127/751 191/1210 77/402 61/282 38/302 54/386 0/11 129/804 52/319
Wilkinson Clifford 1 0 .00 .00 .00 26/193 8/88 0/13 3/42 6/42 0/6 0/0 3/17 1/37 0/13
O'Connor Robert II 1 0 .00 .00 .00 11/93 4/46 6/58 2/14 2/16 1/3 0/1 3/25 4/44 1/13
Whiting Lynn 3 0 .00 .00 .00 28/143 1/36 3/25 0/19 2/17 0/8 2/16 2/10 9/42 6/18
Gorham Robert 1 0 .00 .00 .00 259/1424 78/436 4/42 37/175 25/137 3/23 14/102 0/1 36/324 13/157
Harty Eoin 1 0 .00 100.00 .00 32/211 48/265 29/234 16/95 6/44 6/75 12/103 0/0 30/201 2/30
Jordan Rick 1 0 .00 100.00 .00 25/215 19/169 0/14 5/57 4/45 0/5 2/24 0/2 11/72 1/12
Von Hemel Kelly 2 0 .00 50.00 .00 68/394 29/244 6/28 9/93 16/63 1/7 12/61 1/25 9/85 7/54
Vasquez Lona 1 0 .00 .00 .00 1/23 0/10 0/3 0/9 0/8 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/4 0/1
Calhoun W 4 0 .00 50.00 .00 303/1355 91/478 103/523 58/263 40/194 19/150 48/251 6/44 109/520 21/118
Dickey Charles 1 0 .00 .00 .00 5/50 5/47 14/68 0/17 1/14 0/10 0/7 2/8 4/19 0/5
Tomlinson Michael 3 0 .00 .00 .00 26/146 21/132 12/109 6/48 4/32 1/16 4/26 6/36 16/95 1/22
Wilkinson Sherman 1 0 .00 .00 .00 0/3 4/21 0/1 0/2 0/2 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/7 0/2
Vance David 5 0 .00 .00 .00 22/192 22/131 8/46 6/30 5/30 0/7 3/14 6/33 4/56 0/15
Amoss Thomas 2 0 .00 100.00 .00 275/814 135/473 64/312 47/169 52/143 8/51 20/114 48/177 113/428 10/49
Stidham Michael 4 0 .00 25.00 .00 82/445 57/332 126/725 27/154 25/130 19/136 26/157 9/26 59/324 22/105
Mott William 1 0 .00 .00 .00 52/363 87/484 193/1248 37/228 31/173 17/234 19/265 1/3 107/659 34/194
Morse Randy 6 0 .00 16.67 .00 75/505 46/271 13/91 9/88 9/74 0/26 9/64 6/46 30/194 8/57
Lauer Michael 1 0 .00 .00 .00 55/555 46/388 23/146 22/168 15/146 3/38 3/55 1/11 13/166 4/71
Jackson James 3 0 .00 .00 .00 61/397 21/156 0/11 6/64 14/65 0/3 5/15 0/3 4/79 0/35
Holt Larry 1 0 .00 .00 .00 36/227 24/137 2/32 10/41 5/31 2/7 2/27 0/1 18/111 4/36
Hinsley David 1 0 .00 100.00 .00 46/282 9/112 21/229 2/55 7/49 1/15 0/17 0/9 8/51 4/12
Hiles Rick 1 0 .00 .00 .00 9/93 10/77 4/21 1/15 2/16 0/4 0/6 2/8 4/42 2/8
Hammond Kim 1 0 .00 100.00 .00 65/407 29/171 15/103 6/55 14/55 0/12 1/29 8/29 12/107 5/58
Fosdick Stephen 1 0 .00 .00 .00 31/252 27/196 3/46 9/63 7/59 0/12 2/16 1/12 5/58 2/42
Flint Bernard 1 0 .00 .00 .00 46/251 20/99 21/122 8/61 9/53 2/19 3/23 2/31 12/83 3/25
Fires William 1 0 .00 .00 .00 23/174 16/138 4/52 5/47 4/35 2/21 5/37 2/8 5/70 1/16
Connelly William 2 0 .00 50.00 .00 42/263 26/129 7/76 8/42 1/35 0/17 5/33 1/7 7/82 2/21
Catalano Wayne 1 0 .00 .00 .00 82/483 59/320 83/447 31/162 17/113 21/98 33/151 2/13 53/315 15/98
Kordenbrock Matt 2 1 50.00 50.00 16.80 18/146 17/94 3/25 2/15 2/12 0/4 0/2 6/33 6/46 0/8
Bourgeois Keith 3 1 33.33 66.67 6.00 112/532 72/292 11/90 22/126 22/109 1/10 2/9 36/166 44/203 2/10
Hendrickson Lori 1 0 .00 .00 .00 3/49 7/45 2/52 1/16 0/13 0/10 0/11 1/7 3/24 0/3
Godsey Claudie 1 0 .00 .00 .00 41/221 5/47 9/57 3/24 5/24 2/14 2/24 1/10 7/41 3/18
Nafzger Carl 1 0 .00 .00 .00 5/45 9/34 3/21 1/10 1/12 1/4 0/3 0/0 5/33 0/6
* -Trainer statistics reflect North American starts from Sep 12, 2013 through Sep 11, 2016