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Malibu Moon Filly Tops F-T Pinhook Prospects

Fasig-Tipton's October sale of yearlings begins at 10 a.m. EDT Oct. 24 in LexingtonFasig-Tipton's October sale of yearlings begins at 10 a.m. EDT Oct. 24 in Lexington Fasig-Tipton Photo

Malibu Moon Filly Tops F-T Pinhook Prospects

by Ron Mitchell @BH_RMitchell


Malibu Moon   filly, who likely could have been in the Fasig-Tipton Saratoga yearling sale had she not been dealt a setback, is the most expensive previously sold yearling in the upcoming Fasig-Tipton October sale in Lexington, which occurs Oct. 24-26.

Produced from the stakes-winning More Than Ready   mare In the Slips, the filly consigned by Eaton Sales as Hip 11, was purchased at last year's Keeneland November sale for $220,000 by trainer Gary Contessa on behalf of a client for the purpose of reselling her as a yearling. The filly was bred in Kentucky by her Keeneland consignor, Hunter Valley Farm, and Beechwood Farming.

"She is a lovely filly," said Eaton's Reiley McDonald. "She would have brought between $400,000-$600,000 had she gone to Saratoga."

The second highest-priced pinhook prospect at Fasig-Tipton is a Bodemeister   colt consigned by Hidden Brook as Hip 141 purchased by McMahon & Hill Bloodstock for $170,000 when offered by Brookdale Sales at Keeneland November. The colt is out of theStevie Wonderboy mare Made to Love Her, winner of the Moccasin Stakes and runner-up in the grade II Santa Ynez.

Pioneerof the Nile   colt consigned as Hip 926 by Betz Thoroughbreds, as agent is the third-highest-priced October pinhook. The colt, a half brother to two stakes winners and from the family of multiple group I winner and sire Agnes World, was bought by Clear Ridge Stables for $145,000 at Keeneland November when consigned by Four Star Sales.

Another Pioneerof the Nile colt, Hip 808, was a $140,000 purchase by Kings Landing Purchases from the Chilly Bleak Farm group as a short yearling at this year's Keeneland January sale. Consigned by Paramount Sales, the colt is from the female family of grade I winners Bellamy Road and Gold Fever.

A colt by The Factor   and a Liaison   filly, each purchased for $110,000, round out the list of top October pinhook prospects. Consigned by Dromoland Farm as Hip 297, the colt, produced from a half sister to grade II winner and stakes producer Dream About, was bought by Targosyen Equine in January.

The Liaison filly, Hip 716, was purchased by Preston Stable and Prestonwood Racing from the Four Star Sales consignment at last year's Keeneland November sale. She is from the family of multiple grade I winner Videogenic.

As the last of the nine yearling-only sales in North America this year, the October sale is the final opportunity for breeders or pinhookers to either sell, face the prospect of incurring additional overhead costs by waiting until next year's juvenile auctions, or send them to race.

The most expensive RNA in the catalog is Hip 942, a son of Tapit   out of the grade III-winning Cherokee Run mare Cherokee Queen, an 11-race winner who earned $628,312 and the dam of stakes-placed Entertainer. The chestnut colt is consigned by South Point Sales Agency, agent, which also had him in this year's Saratoga sale when he was bought back on a final bid of $500,000.

FASIG-TIPTON OCTOBER SALE
TOP PINHOOK PROSPECTS
HipDescriptionConsignorPrevious Sale Price/Sale
11f., Malibu Moon—In the Slips, by More Than ReadyEaton Sales, agt.$220,000/KeeNov
141c., Bodemeister—Made to Love Her, by Stevie WonderboyHidden Brook, agt.$170,000/KeeNov
926c., Pioneerof the Nile—Celestic, by Sky ClassicBetz Thoroughbreds, agt.$145,000/KeeNov
808c., Pioneerof the Nile—Aronia, by MutakddimParamount Sales, agt.$140,000/KeeJan
297c., The Factor—Peggarty, by SpeightstownDromoland Farm, agt.$110,000/KeeJan
716f., Liaison—Voodoo Lounge, by Pleasant TapFour Star Sales, agt.$110,000/KeeNov

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Morales headed to hospital for observation,Frosted remains under consideration for BC Classic, Sunday Woodbine Recap, Dirt Mile, Stevens has mount on Runhappy in Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile,

Stevens has mount on Runhappy in Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile

Gary Stevens has the mount on Runhappy in the Grade 1, $1 million Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile on Nov. 4 at Santa Anita, trainer Laura Wohlers said on Monday.

Runhappy, the champion sprinter of 2015, was paired with Stevens back in December, when the horse captured the Grade 1 Malibu at Santa Anita.

Runhappy last raced Saturday, and finished fourth in the Grade 3 Ack Ack at Churchill Downs. Edgar Prado was aboard the horse, who was making his first start back since the Malibu.

Wohlers said Runhappy emerged from the race in good condition and plans remain to ship out to Santa Anita about seven to 10 days in advance of the Breeders' Cup. Runhappy, who is based in Lexington, Ky., races for Jim McIngvale.

  • Frosted remains under consideration for BC Classic, Dirt Mile

    Frosted, who has earned berths into both the Breeders' Cup Classic and the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile, remains under consideration for both races, trainer Kiaran McLaughlin said on Monday.

    "No decisions have been made," he said. "He's pointing for that weekend. He's doing great, working weekly, pointing for the Breeders' Cup."

    McLaughlin said a decision on the path the horse will take will come down from Godolphin Racing.

    Frosted earned a Dirt Mile berth for his win in the Metropolitan Handicap. He locked up a berth into the Classic by virtue of his win in the Whitney.

    The $1 million Dirt Mile will be run Nov. 4 at Santa Anita, and the $6 million Classic at the Southern California track the following day, on Nov. 5.

    Frosted is based in New York.

  • Morales headed to hospital for observation

    Jockey Silvino Morales is being taken to a local hospital for observation after going down in a spill in the last race. The horse he was riding, Ziggymiester, clipped heels approaching the quarter-pole and flipped.

    Officials said Morales was conscious and was able to move his arms and legs.

    The incident happened when Tulipia, who was making a strong move, cut in front of Ziggymiester. Tulipia, ridden by Robert Stewart, was disqualified and placed last.

    Ziggymiester got up but was vanned off
  • Posted : Oct 2, 2016, 7:38 PM
  • Sunday Woodbine recap

    With leading rider Eurico Da Silva out of town, 10 different riders scored on the card, including David Moran, who won the $125K Vice Regent Stakes on Thor's Rocket, a sprinter stretching out who endured a four-wide trip. The personable Irishman revealed after the race that his wife is carrying their eighth child. She will be their fourth girl, to go along with four boys.

    The favored Aye Aye Captain seemed to suffer the most from the Vice Regent being moved from the grass to a mile and a sixteenth on the Tapeta following an early afternoon shower. After a stalking trip, he made the lead in the stretch before flattening out to finish sixth. His previous effort was a solid second in a one-mile optional claimer around one turn on the lawn.

    Ontario-breds Woodbridge and Escondera ran one-two in a mile and a sixteenth maiden special for 2yos. Both of them are prospects for next year's Queen's Plate.

    Light My Path ended a bout of seconditis by beating $10K NW2 opposition under Alan Garcia as the 3-1 second choice in the nightcap. Her victory ensured a Jackpot Hi 5 carryover, which is a whopping $343K heading into Wednesday night.

  • War Story to Jockey Club Gold Cup; Protonico possible as well

    War Story to Jockey Club Gold Cup; Protonico possible as well

    War Story, beaten a head in the Frosted Stakes at Parx on Sept. 24, will make his next start in Saturday's Grade 1, $1 million Jockey Club Gold Cup at Belmont Park, owner Ron Paolucci said Tuesday.

    Paolucci said trainer Mario Serey has been impressed with how War Story came out of the Frosted -- also known as the Pennsylvania Derby Champion Stakes -- that he told Paolucci that he wanted to run the horse right back. Paolucci recommended Saturday's Grade 2, $350,000 Kelso Handicap at Belmont. After sending the horse back to the track a few days after the Parx race, Serey told Paolucci "We'll win the Gold Cup,' " Paulucci said.

    "I said "Are you out of your mind?'" Paolucci said. "Normally, it's me saying let's go to the Gold Cup and the trainer saying let's run in the Kelso."

    On Monday, at Parx, War Story worked six furlongs in 1:12 out of the starting gate.

    War Story, a gelding by Northern Afleet, is 3 for 14 in his career. He has placed in graded stakes four times but has run in some ambitious spots such as the 2015 Kentucky Derby, where he finished 16th of 18, and this year's Pacific Classic where he finsihed seventh of nine, 22 3-4 lengths behind California Chrome.

    In the Frosted, he closed very well after getting off slowly and was only beaten a head by Cyrus Alexander, the favorite.

    "That was the first time since the Louisiana Derby where people didn't call me the the biggest idiot on the planet and said that I ran him where you're supposed," Paolucci said.

    When he runs in the Gold Cup, War Story will be doing so for his sixth trainer in his last six starts. The horse was sent to Serey after the Pacific Classic, but he ran in trainer Miguel Penaloza's name in the Parx race because Serey was serving a suspension.

    As of Tuesday, it was unclear who would ride War Story in the Gold Cup. Javier Castellano is possible but he may ride Protonico, who could be re-routed from the Kelso to the Gold Cup. Paolucci said if Castellano doesn't ride him, he would try to get Trevor McCarthy to ride.

    Todd Pletcher said Tuesday he would wait until Wednesday -- entry day -- to decide whether to run Protonico in the Gold Cup or the Kelso. Pletcher already plans to run Anchor Down and Tommy Macho in the Kelso.

    The field for the Gold Cup and all seven stakes at Belmont on Saturday will be drawn Wednesday.

    The expected Gold Cup field, as of Tuesday, was: Effinex (Mike Smith), Hoppertunity (John Velazquez), Mubtaahij (Irad Ortiz Jr.), War Story (TBD) and Watershed (Joel Rosario). Protonico is possible. Samraat will not be entered.

    Stakes lineups for Friday opener at Keeneland

    Stakes lineups for Friday opener at Keeneland

    Divisional leader A.P. INDIAN was assigned the rail slot in a field of 7 entered in the G2 Phoenix S., one of 2 stakes drawn for the Friday opener at Keeneland.

    The main Friday feature, the G1 Alcibiades for 2yo fillies, got a full field of 14. Here follow the draws for both:

    G2, $250,000 Phoenix (R8); 3yo&up; 6 furlongs

    1. A.P. INDIAN, J.Bravo

    2. W.B. SMUDGE, J.Leparoux

    3. AMI'S FLATTER, F.Geroux

    4. ALSVID, C.Hill

    5. LIMOUSINE LIBERAL, J.Ortiz

    6. THE GREAT WAR, J.Garcia

    7. CINCO CHARLIE, R.Santana Jr.

    G1, $400k Alcibiades (R9); 2yo fillies; 1 1/16 miles

    1. FUN, B.HernandezJr

    2. SULLY'S DREAM, C.Hill

    3. QUEEN BERNARDINA, J.Bravo

    4. DANCING RAGS, A.Cruz

    5. LADY HANSEN, L.Saez

    6. CAROLINE TEST, J.Ortiz

    7. COLD HEARTED PEARL, J.Castanon

    8. DREAM DANCING, F.Geroux

    9. PRICE TOO HIGH, I.OrtizJr.

    10. BENNER ISLAND, R.Albarado

    11. DIADURA, C.MarquezJr.

    12. I'MLUCKYSGIRL, M.Mena

    13. FOR HONOR, R.Santana Jr.

    14. DADDYS LIL DARLING, C.Lanerie

    Connect likely to freshen up for Cigar Mile

    Connect likely to freshen up for Cigar Mile

    Connect, winner of the Grade 2 $1.25 million Pennsylvania Derby at Parx on Sept. 24, will likely make his next start in the Grade 1, $500,000 Cigar Mile at Aqueduct on Nov. 26, trainer Chad Brown said.

    Brown said the Breeders' Cup Classic is not a race he and owner Paul Pompa Jr. are focused on. Brown said the BC Dirt Mile is a possibility as is the Grade 1 Clark at Churchill Downs on Nov. 25 but the Cigar Mile appears to be Brown's preference.

    "Our first choice is probaby to freshen the horse up for the Cigar Mile," Brown said. "Horse has had plenty of racing this summer, he's fit and he'll benefit from a little freshening."

    Connect, a son of Curlin, has won 4 for 5 races this year with his only loss being a sixth-place finish behind runaway winner Arrogate in the Grade 1 Travers on Aug. 27. Connect emerged from the Travers with a lung issue.

    He defeated Gun Runner by one-half length in the Pennsylvania Derby and earned a 103 Beyer Speed Figure for the performance.

    Lost Raven Makes the Grade in Miss Preakness | BloodHorse.com

    Repole Stable's Lost Raven showed a new dimension May 20 at Pimlico Race Course and it paid off for her first graded stakes victory.

    On or near the front in all seven of her starts prior to Friday, the homebred Uncle Mo   filly raced in eighth in the 10-filly field in the Adena Springs Miss Preakness (gr. III) field early (13 1/2 lengths back after a quarter in :22.69 and 9 1/2 back after a half in :45.94) and still had to make up five lengths in sixth at the top of the stretch. 

    But she made up the ground quickly. Under jockey John Velazquez, the Todd Pletcher-trained filly blew by pacesetter Quick Release with fellow closer One True Kiss and prevailed by three-quarters of a length, finishing off the six-furlong, $100,000 race in 1:11.43. Watch Video

    Last time out, Lost Raven won the six-furlong Cicada Stakes at Aqueduct Racetrack March 26 by leading at every point of call.

    "I was a little concerned, because she's never been that far back in her career," Pletcher said. "I knew that (:22.69) at Pimlico is flying, so I was hoping the fractions were fast enough to allow her to come from behind."

    Off as the 7-2 second choice Friday, Lost Raven paid $9.80, $5.20, and $3.80 across the board. One True Kiss brought $14.20 and $8.60, and Quick Release delivered $9 to show.

    She's All Ready finished an even fourth, followed by Right There, Moment Is Right, Ultra Brat, R Girls a Charmer, Simple Surprise, and Banree to complete the order of finish.

    Lost Raven was bred in Kentucky, out of the Elusive Quality mare Elusive Raven, and has a 4-1-1 record from eight starts with $290,350 in earnings.

     

    Stakes Preview: The Vosburgh is A. P. Indian’s Race To Lose. Will He Show Up?


    Stakes Preview: The Vosburgh is A. P. Indian’s Race To Lose. Will He Show Up?



    DontLetTheGamePassYouByfortfus

    >>Go to the PPs for The G1 Vosburgh | Post Time 5:11 EDT Saturday

    It’s been a few years since we’ve had a dominant older Grade 1 dirt sprinter in this country, which makes A. P. Indian a welcome presence. He is undoubtedly the leader of this division after sweeping both Grade 1 sprints for older horses at Saratoga, running his winning streak to five. If he shows up, he’s a likely winner of this race—but will he show up? His connections have cast doubt over whether they would run him over a sloppy track, and there is plenty of rain in the forecast for Friday and Saturday. If he remains on the sidelines, this race really opens up.

    Let’s go through the field:

    #1, Weekend Hideaway (20/1): This horse has been plagued by inconsistency but seems to have gotten over those issues this year, as he’s put together four straight solid performances, including three wins against New York-breds. However, he was no match for X Y Jet at Gulfstream, or even Stallwalkin’ Dude in this race last year, so it would appear that he’s a cut below the best runners at this level. That said, he would be one worth moving up if the track comes up wet.

    #2, Holy Boss (4/1): After reeling off four straight victories towards the first half of his three-year-old campaign, he’s been winless since last year’s Amsterdam at Saratoga. He’s hardly been disgraced in any of those races, and some might even argue that he’s improved as a four-year-old. However, the fact remains that he’s been in position to win in four straight races and just has not been able to seal the deal. Today his task is complicated by an inside draw in a race that features other speed and stalking types drawn to his outside. He resented getting stuck down inside in the True North two back, and he could be in for a similar trip here.

    #3, Joking (8/1): After struggling to get through his allowance conditions for what seemed like an eternity, Joking has come on suddenly this year at the age of seven. Charlton Baker is having a fantastic year on the NYRA circuit and this runner’s success in the Grade 2 True North has to be considered his crowning achievement. That said, he missed some races over the summer and now must be set to top even his prior performance while returning from a layoff dating back to mid-June. The hurdles are significant, but he does love Belmont Park and ran a competitive speed figure when last seen. I’ll be using him underneath in exactas and trifectas.

    #4, Green Gratto (30/1):

    It’s hard to imagine that this admirable old warrior will be able to stick with X Y Jet early and still be around at the finish. He’s a pace presence (our Pace Projector has him pressing the early pace), but probably not much else.

    #5, A. P. Indian (1/1):


    There is little to criticize when analyzing this gelding’s recent form. He’s equally effective at distances ranging from six to seven furlongs; he can race on the lead or come from off the pace; and he’s run speed figures that are simply a few points higher than those of almost all of his competitors. In winning 10 of his 16 lifetime starts, he’s finished out of the money only twice. However, one of those subpar performances did come over a sloppy track in last year’s Phoenix at Keeneland. It’s possible that he needs a fast track to produce his very best effort, and he’s unlikely to get that on Saturday. However, if that is the case, his connections have indicated that he’d be unlikely to run. If the track is anything close to fast and he shows up, I’m not trying to beat him.

    #6, X Y Jet (7/2): In many ways, this horse is the real wild card in the race. He is the only runner in this field to have consistently run speed figures that suggest he could give A. P. Indian a scare. However, he has not been seen since late March, and his connections picked an awfully ambitious spot in which to bring him back. Speed is the name of the game for this son of Kantharos, and he will try to take them as far as he can up front. However, he’s never encountered a horse that can finish up like A. P. Indian, and I wonder if an early tussle with Green Gratto could leave him somewhat vulnerable late. It’s also fair to wonder whether he can produce his best form in New York. Jorge Navarro’s runners have been effective at Monmouth and Gulfstream, but he gets only a 54 trainer rating on the NYRA circuit. Perhaps his Golden Shaheen effort is supposed to ease those concerns, but I still need to see it here to believe it.

    #7, Stallwalkin’ Dude (8/1):


    He nearly won this race last year after boldly forging to the lead past midstretch under Irad Ortiz. However, the game Rock Fall had just enough left in reserve to battle back for the victory. Things have not gone smoothly since then, as he’s had his ups and downs and seemed to completely tail off during the spring and early summer of this year. However, he got back on track at Saratoga and earned another Grade 1 placing in the Forego. He was never going to beat A. P. Indian that day, but he still ran a creditable race. Now he shortens up to arguably his best distance while in some of the best form of his career. I don’t anticipate that he’ll beat A. P. Indian, but he’d become a major player in the event that the favorite scratches.

    #8, Dannie’s Deceiver (20/1):

    If the surface does indeed come up sloppy, it figures to help this guy more than anyone else. In three runs over sealed tracks, he’s earned two wins and a second, which is better than he’s done in all of his fast track races. It would have seemed unlikely that he could compete against a field of this quality just a few months ago, but he’s made huge strides over his past few starts. He defeated a strong allowance field on Belmont Stakes day in June, and then made an eye-catching run from far back to nearly win in July. He was still dismissed at 40/1 in the Forego—his stakes debut—but he managed to pass more than half the field while rallying from last to be fourth. The fact that he was able to accomplish such a feat over a fast track speaks to the form that he’s in right now. I take it as a positive sign that Jose Ortiz climbs aboard, and the stiff 6-furlong workout that he put in a few days ago would appear to indicate that he’s feeling good coming into this race. If there’s one horse in this race that could surprise a lot of people and step up to hit the board—or even win, if A. P. Indian is absent—I believe it’s him.

    THE PLAY

    If A. P. Indian (#5) runs, he’s my top pick, but I think there are a few runners that could be used underneath him in exactas and trifectas, including Stallwalkin’ Dude (#7) and Dannie’s Deceiver (#8). If the favorite is scratched, then Dannie’s Deceiver would inherit the role of my top selection.

    With A. P. Indian:

    Win/Place: 8

    Exacta: 5 with 7,8

    Trifecta: 5 with 7,8 with 1,2,3,6,7,8

    Trifecta: 5 with 1,2,3,6 with 7,8

    Without A. P. Indian:

    Win/Place: 8

    Exacta Key Box: 8 with 1,2,3,6,7

    Trifecta: 7,8 with 2,3,7,8 with 1,2,3,6,7,8

    Stakes Preview: In the G1 Beldame at Belmont, Don’t Overlook This Longshot


    This Beldame features three Grade 1 winners, in the form of Apple Blossom winner Forever Unbridled, surprise Test winner Paola Queen, and Mother Goose winner Off the Tracks. However, it’s still hard to shake the feeling that this has come up as one of the weaker Grade 1 races run in this division. The absence of stars like Songbird, Beholder, Stellar Wind, and Cavorting is certainly felt here.

    The Pace Projector is predicting that the two aforementioned three-year-old fillies, Paola Queen (#6) and Off the Tracks (#7), will show the way early as they stretch out after focusing on sprint races this summer. However, I wonder if either or both of their riders will be somewhat more conservative than this projection suggests, given concerns about stamina over this nine furlong distance. If that’s the case, the door could be left open for Penwith (#4) to take up the early lead under the ever-vigilant Javier Castellano.

    Let’s go through the field:

    #1, Tiger Ride (15/1): She’s actually run pretty well on dirt and put to rest any concerns about whether she could get this distance with her runner-up finish in a restricted stakes at Saratoga this summer. She deserves some credit for making the first run into a fast pace (color-coded in red) on that occasion in a race that ultimately fell apart late. However, she still lost to Rachel’s Temper and that one is hardly a serious threat to win this race. At best, she’s worth considering for the bottom rungs of trifectas and superfectas.

    #2, Forever Unbridled (1/1):

    The Beldame is this filly’s race to lose and it’s as simple as that. Some argue that she should have won the Grade 1 Ogden Phipps back in June when she got buried down on the rail by Joel Rosario and had to wait for room before getting out into the clear too late in the stretch. I cannot make any such excuses for her last time, when she appeared poised to draw off at the top of the stretch in the Personal Ensign and just seemed to hang late before getting run down by Cavorting. That said, none of the fillies that defeated her in those races is in the starting gate today. If she produces the kind of performance that she’s capable of putting forth, she is supposed to win. However, if you’re looking for any chinks in her armor, you could point to a pace situation that is somewhat muddled. Joel Rosario got in trouble taking her too far back off the pace two back, and he must avoid making that same mistake again.

    #3, Rachel’s Temper (10/1): While I respect the year that Charlton Baker has been having, I still think he’s asking a lot of this mare. This is a horse that really struggled to get through her allowance conditions and fell into an absolutely perfect setup sitting well back off a fast pace when she finally earned a stakes win last time out. She is highly unlikely to get the same scenario here, and I’ll be surprised if she’s a factor.

    #4, Penwith (10/1):

    What happened to this mare’s early speed? At one time, that was her greatest weapon, but it seems that her riders have made no attempt to show any early initiative in recent starts. However, I’m thinking that might change today. Javier Castellano knows how to read the past performances and I’m sure he’ll take notice that Penwith has produced some of her best results when she’s allowed to rattle long on the front end through steady fractions. If John Velazquez and Luis Saez on the two outside fillies are a little concerned about stamina going this nine-furlong distance, they may be content to let Javier take up the running from the inside. So can Penwith actually wire the field? I don’t think it’s out of the question. After all, it’s not as if her speed figures are that much slower than the top contenders’ in this race, and she figures to appreciate cutting back in distance after two straight races at a mile and a quarter. Her performance in the Royal Delta from last winter would give her a major chance here, and even her Delaware Handicap puts her in the mix despite the fact that race dynamics worked against her there. I believe it’s significant that Kiaran McLaughlin is taking a shot in this race, and she’s my long shot selection.

    #5, Going for Broke (6/1): She barely beat Rachel’s Temper two back and I’m not convinced that she topped that performance despite earning a Grade 1 placing in her next start. I wonder if she’ll be overbet here because Songbird’s name shows up in her Alabama running line. That performance looks better in print than it does when watching the replay, as she got an absolutely perfect trip coming through on the rail around the far turn and still had trouble putting away the third place finisher, who was seemingly spent at the top of the stretch. I prefer others.

    #6, Paola Queen (15/1): She never should have been 55/1 in the Test, but her win in that race was still a surprise. I generally love turnbacks and I have to believe that it was the shortened distance that allowed her to step up with her career-best performance last time. While she performed respectably enough in her three route attempts, she didn’t run fast enough in those races to compete against the likes of today’s older rivals. I’ll be surprised if she’s able to pull off the Grade 1 double here.

    #7, Off the Tracks (5/2): There’s a lot to like about this filly, but I’m wondering if she’s a bit of a trap in this spot. Her odds are probably not going to be that much higher than those of Forever Unbridled, but I believe her older rival is a far more likely winner of this race. She obviously deserves accolades for her performance in the Test, which earned her a 123 speed figure—easily best in the field. That said, she was a turnback that day, just like Paola Queen, and she was not able to reproduce that form in the Prioress next time out. While she did earn a Grade 1 victory in the Mother Goose, she may have benefitted from a surface that was favoring inside speed on that occasion. Her lone race over a wet track was one of her worst, and there are still questions about her stamina. I’m not going to be shocked if she steps up and wins this race, but I don’t think a price around 5/2 or 3/1 would represent fair value. She’s somewhere in my play, but I prefer others on top.

    THE PLAY

    While I fully acknowledge that this is Forever Unbridled’s (#2) race to lose, I have to take a shot with Penwith (#4), given the expected value. I would bet her to win at odds of 8/1 or higher.

    Win/Place: 4

    Exacta Box: 2,4

    Trifecta: 2,4 with 2,4 with ALL

    Trifecta: 2,4 with 1,5,7 with 2,4

    FULL GATE FOR RODEO DRIVE: GI Rodeo Drive S. Saturday, featuring a 14-horse scramble to seize a A Win and Youre In qualifying bid to the Nov. 5 GI Breeders Cup Filly and Mare Turf

    FULL GATE FOR RODEO DRIVE
    by Ben Massam

    The brand-new Santa Anita turf course will play host to a contentious renewal of the GI Rodeo Drive S. Saturday, featuring a 14-horse scramble to seize a A Win and Youre In qualifying bid to the Nov. 5 GI Breeders Cup Filly and Mare Turf. Trainer Michael Stidham sends out 7- 2 morning-line favorite Zipessa (City Zip) to tackle 10 furlongs for the first time in her career. The chestnut recently attacked a quick pace and held on determinedly to finish third in Arlingtons GI Beverly D. S. Aug. 13. Zipessa figures to be on or near the lead again Saturday, and retains the services of Florent Geroux, who was aboard for her win in the GIII Dr. James Penney Memorial S. at Parx July 4.

    Zipessa will likely have company from Avenge (War Front) near the front of the Rodeo Drive cavalry charge. Winner of the nine-furlong GII John C. Mabee S. at Del Mar Sept. 4, the dark bay--whose previous successesin Arcadia have come in turf sprints--will also confront the longest distance test of her career Saturday. Decked Out (Street Boss) represents the opposite end of the pace spectrum, doing her best work from the backfield. The sophomore recently made an eye-catching move on the turn and came up a head short when runner-up behind Harmonize (Scat Daddy) in the GI Del Mar Oaks Aug. 20. Bjorn Neilsen=s Real Smart (Smart Strike) looms as an intriguing longshot for trainer Graham Motion, who has enjoyed considerable success shipping turf runnersto Southern California. Confidently spotted at the Grade I level, the 4-year- old British import captured the GIII Robert G. Dick Memorial S. at Delaware Park July 9.


    Saturday, Santa Anita Park, post time: 7:00 p.m. EDT
    RODEO DRIVE S.-GI, $300,000, 3yo/up, f/m, 1 1/4mT
    PP HORSE SIRE JOCKEY TRAINER ML

    1 Keri Belle Empire Maker Arroyo, Jr. Shirreffs 15-1
    2 Frenzified (GB) Yeats (Ire) Gonzalez Cassidy 10-1
    3 Queen of The Sand (Ire) Footstepsinthsnd (GB) Blanc Gallagher 20-1
    4 Avenge War Front Prat Mandella 6-1
    5 Real Smart Smart Strike Van Dyke Motion 15-1
    6 Tiz a Kiss Cee's Tizzy Talamo Baltas 20-1
    7 Majestic Heat Unusual Heat Stevens Mandella 12-1
    8 Fresh Feline K Kitten's Joy Sutherland Shirreffs 20-1
    9 Generosidade (Uru) Nedawi (GB) Pereira Lobo 12-1
    10 Nancy From Nairobi (GB) Sixties Icon (GB) Smith Sadler 10-1
    11 Decked Out K Street Boss Desormeaux Desormeaux12-1
    12 Zipessa K City Zip Geroux Stidham 7-2
    13 Elektrum (Ire) High Chaparral (Ire) Espinoza Sadler 5-1
    14 Sobradora Inc (Arg) Include Bejarano Callaghan 6-1