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Brandon M. Dolin

Website of @BMDPICKSHORSES BETS AND BETTING ADVICE. Soon to be sole manager of The 3rd Finger Fund LLC a NV Betting Entity ; Horse Racing & Sports Betting.

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Belmont Saturday Highlight Horse: Danny’s Deceiver will relish wet track in the Vosburgh


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Belmont Saturday Highlight Horse: Danny’s Deceiver will relish wet track in the Vosburgh
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>Belmont | Race 9 | Post Time 5:44 EDT | Go To The TimeformUS PPs

In three runs over sealed tracks, Danny’s Deceiver has earned two wins and a second, which is better than he’s done in all of his fast track races. It would have seemed unlikely that he could compete against a field of this quality just a few months ago, but he’s made huge strides over his past few starts.


He defeated a strong allowance field on Belmont Stakes day in June, and then made an eye-catching run from far back to nearly win in July. He was still dismissed at 40/1 in the Forego—his stakes debut—but he managed to pass more than half the field while rallying from last to be fourth. The fact that he was able to accomplish such a feat over a fast track speaks to the form that he’s in right now. I take it as a positive sign that Jose Ortiz climbs aboard, and the stiff 6-furlong workout that he put in a few days ago would appear to indicate that he’s feeling good coming into this race. If there’s one horse in this race that could surprise a lot of people and step up to hit the board—or even win—I believe it’s him.

THE PLAY

Win/Place: 8

Exacta Key Box: 8 with 1,2,3,6,7

Trifecta: 7,8 with 2,3,7,8 with 1,2,3,6,7,8



30 teams 30 days DETROIT PISTONS

30 Teams in 30 Days: Pistons opt to go big once again

Detroit adds depth around All-Star center Drummond as youthful roster starts to develop

  • POSTED: Sep 19, 2016 8:14 AM ET

BY Shaun Powell

Coach Stan Van Gundy (center) has a solid core of young players to work with in Detroit.

Since the Cavaliers won their first NBA title back on June 19, NBA teams have undergone a number of changes over the long summer offseason. NBA.com's Shaun Powell will evaluate the state of each franchise -- from the team with the worst regular-season record in 2015-16 to the team with the best regular-season record -- during the month of September as we look at 30 Teams in 30 Days. |Complete schedule

Today's team: Detroit Pistons

2015-16 record: 44-38

Who's gone: G Spencer Dinwiddie, GJodie Meeks, F Anthony Tolliver

Who's new: PF Henry Ellenson, SGMichael Gbinije (via Draft); F Jon Leuer, C Boban Marjanovic, G Ray McCallum Jr., G Ish Smith (via free agency); F-CCameron Bairstow (via trades)

The lowdown: After seven straight losing seasons, the Pistons made the playoffs and appear to be on the up and up.

Top 10 Plays: Detroit Pistons

For two straight seasons, the Pistons used the trade deadline, not the summer, to fortify the club for the better. First they added 26-year-oldReggie Jackson in 2015 from the Oklahoma City Thunder and then last summer gave him a contract extension that looks very team-friendly now.Before the 2016 trade deadline, the Pistons gave the Orlando Magic a used Vinnie Johnson jersey for 24-year-oldTobias Harris, who looked surprisingly comfortable upon arrival. Both players are just touching their prime and were terrific, low-cost moves by Stan Van Gundy, who's juggling both coaching and team president duties.

This summer? Well, Van Gundy didn't need to be a genius to extend his All-Star center Andre Drummond, who is just 22. Van Gundy also signed Marjanovic and Leuer and drafted Ellenson to give Detroit a surplus of big men. While many others league-wide are playing small ball, Van Gundy dares to be different and it could pay off positively for the Pistons both now and the near future.

Top 10 Plays: Andre Drummond

There are only a handful of coaches who have personnel power, and that dual role can be tricky for some (Los Angeles Clippers coach/team president Doc Rivers has a sketchy history, for example). Following his messy exit from the Orlando Magic, Van Gundy wanted power in his next job and the Pistons, after a series of missteps in ex-GM Joe Dumars' last few years, were willing to give Van Gundy that clout.

It wasn't merely about showing his skills as a talent evaluator -- GM Jeff Bower does most of the legwork -- Van Gundy didn't want anyone telling him whom to play or trade, and he wanted to build a team in his vision, not someone else's.

The Pistons are now all about his vision. Only Drummond and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope remain from the Dumars era and Drummond is the team's most important player. Van Gundy is now trying to build around his franchise center much in the same way the Magic did for Dwight Howard. Van Gundy tookthe Howard-led Magic to the 2009 NBA Finals and for a half-dozen years they were a winning and happy unit ... until the relationship soured.

Van Gundy added depth at center with Marjanovic, who remains a curiosity, but moves well for a man his size (7-foot-3). He can contribute in spots, especially at the rim, of course. He also learned a bit in the San Antonio Spurs' organization and at the knee of Tim Duncan, so the Pistons hope to reap those benefits.

The 6-foot-11 Ellenson spent one season at Marquette and has the size to play the post, yet his offensive instincts are slightly more perimeter-based. That means he'll likely play power forward, where his competition (at the moment) is Leuer and Marcus Morris.

To an extent, Van Gundy didn't need to make wholesale moves this summer. More than half of his rotation (Drummond, Morris, Harris, Stanley Johnson and Caldwell-Pope) is players with upside. The Pistons can allow for growth from within before shelling out big dollars to free agents. Those players will either help the Pistons or be used as trade chips.

And that's the beauty of the Pistons under Van Gundy. They're not a finished product by any stretch. Yet, Detroit has a collection of assets. There's future Draft picks, players and decent salary cap space. In short time, Van Gundy has put the Pistons on the right path, both on the floor and on the roster.

The priority this summer was clearly keeping Drummond in the fold, although as a restricted free agent, there was little danger in losing him. He made no noise about being in another city, anyway. He wanted to stay in Detroit, a place that wasn't on anyone's radar three years ago, when empty seats and losing streaks plagued the franchise.


The Pistons aren't a contender, unless this keeps up. They've righted the ship inDeeee-troit, where the Pistons are suddenly worth watching.

Note @ Las Vegas, Nevada

2016 Iroquois Stakes: Two For One


Photo: Maryland Jockey Club


Since the Iroquois Stakes was moved from late October/early November to mid-September we have seen more Kentucky Derby hopefuls, than eventual starters. Although, a few select horses such as Tapiture, Ride on Curlin and Mr. Z did get their chance to run for the roses at Churchill Downs the following spring. Their bids would fall short, but their journey from the first points race all the way to the Kentucky Derby was very unique. Today the long road begins again when the scoring resumes in the 2016 Iroquois Stakes.


At 3-1, Recruiting Ready is the morning line favorite. The son of Algorithms--Need nearly scored his first graded stakes win in his debut race at Churchill Downs on July 2. He did it by attempting to wire the eight other juveniles in the field with swift fractions of 21.76, 45.07 and 56.97 on the front end. The strategy looked to be a winner until his bid to draw clear was outmatched by Classic Empire who reeled him in the final furlong to win the Bashford Manor – G3.


Next time out the Horacio DePaz trainee looked even closer to a graded stakes win in the Saratoga Special – G2 on August 14. However, what appeared to be an easy win quickly turned into another runner up finish when Gunnevera soared home to steal the race at the wire from the heavy post time favorite. And then things got even worse when Recruiting Ready was disqualified from second and placed fourth for making contact with Tip Tap Tapizar near the three-eighths pole and knocking him off his stride.


Today, Gary Stevens will be in the saddle for the first time. The assumption is that Recruiting Ready will be back in position to get things right this time out, but he will also be stretching to out to over 1 mile for the first time in his young racing career.


The second choice on the morning line isThirstforlife. At 7-2 the son of Stay Thirsty - Promenade Girl returns to the track where he broke his maiden in his second career start. In between that effort and today was a respectable third place finish in the Best Pal – G3 at Del Mar, his graded stakes debut. In that contest Thirstforlife was in the mix throughout but he failed to fire a serious bid.


Florent Geroux returns for his second mount aboard Thirstforlife and first since he was in the irons for the colt’s career debut, a third place finish in the Kentucky Juvenile Stakes at Churchill Downs on May 5. Trainer Mark Casse will be attempting to win his second career Iroquois Stakes after notching his first in 2012 with Uncaptured.


Not This Time enters the Iroquois Stakes coming off his very first win for trainer Dale Romans. The one mile maiden victory by 10 lengths on the dirt at Ellis Park last month was his second career start. The son of Giant's Causeway – Miss Macy Sue is the co-third choice on the morning line.


Accompanying Not This Time at 4-1 isBlame Will, the son of Blame – Be My Prospect, trained by D. Wayne Lukas. This will also be his debut stakes race after a maiden win. Blame Will’s first victory came in his third career start and second at Saratoga after beginning his racing career here at Churchill Downs in June.


Lookin At Lee enters the Iroquois Stakes after winning back to back races at Ellis Park this summer. His first was in a maiden special weight race and followed by a more impressive score in the Ellis Park Juvenile Stakes. Though the stakes race was not graded and only featured five starters, the Steve Asmussen trainee by Lookin At Lucky – Langara Lass should be considered a live option for a nice price if his odds remain near his morning line mark of 6-1.


Honor Thy Father for trainer Kenny McPeek follows Lookin At Lee to the Iroquois Stakes from the Ellis Park Juvenile Stakes where he finished third. Prior to that the son of  To Honor and Serve – Hottie Dancer also broke his maiden at Ellis Park after striking out in his career debut at Churchill Downs last June. Coincidentally, Honor Thy Father finished behind Lookin At Lee in that race as well. Both horses missed the top three finishing fifth and sixth.


Just Move On moves into Churchill Downs for his first career start in the Bluegrass State after opening his career at Arlington Park earlier this summer. In two races from Chicago the Patrick Byrne trainee and son of Street Boss finished in the top three both times and won his last time out. Skinflint ships into Churchill Downs and the Kentucky racing circuit for the first time after breaking his maiden at Gulfstream Park last time out. The son of Super Saver, trained by Dane Kobiskie, was listed as the long shot on the morning line with odds of 20-1.


So this is your field for the kickoff point’s race in the Road to the 2017 Kentucky Derby. Keep in mind that the Iroquois Stakes is distinctive because this stakes race also represents the first Breeders’ Cup 2016 Win & You’re In qualifier for the Juvenile division

Keenelandsales topper

Keeneland Sale

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Photo: Eclipse Sportswire


Spirited bidding among domestic and foreign buyers, double-digit increases in results and the sale of a Pioneerof the Nile colt for $700,000 headlined Sunday’s sixth session of the Keeneland September Yearling Sale.

Competition for quality yearlings spurred healthy results, with active participation continuing from major domestic as well as buyers from England, Ireland, Russia, Korea, Panama and Puerto Rico. Among the leading trainers still shopping on Sunday were Racing Hall of Famers Bob Baffert and Steve Asmussen, and Mark Casse, Dale Romans, Tom Amoss, Ralph Nicks and Al Stall Jr., among others.

On Sunday, which marked the first day of the Book 3 portion of the sale, Keeneland sold 269 yearlings for $23,243,000, up 18.5 percent from the same session in 2015 when 266 horses bought $19,618,000. The average increased 17.16 percent from $73,752 to $86,405. The median of $70,000 rose 27.27 percent from last year’s $55,000.

Through six sessions, 1,081 yearlings have been sold for $212,749,000, down 5.25 percent from the corresponding period last year when 1,234 horses sold for $224,536,000. The cumulative average of $196,808 increased 8.16 percent from $181,958 in 2015. The median of $130,000 remained unchanged from last year.

Tom Haughey’s PTK LLC bought the day’s top-priced yearling, who is a half-brother to stakes winner Softly Lit. He was consigned by Peter O’Callaghan’s Woods Edge Farm, agent.

“He was a spectacular-looking horse. I loved him,” Haughey said, adding that he had purchased two half-sisters to the colt, the aforementioned Softly Lit, by Latent Heat, and winner Flickering, by Twirling Candy, at previous Keeneland September Sales.

The second-highest price was the $410,000 spent by Martin Anthony for a Mineshaft filly out of the Empire Maker mare Scenic Drive. The filly’s second dam, Mon Belle, by Maria’s Mon, is a full sister to 2001 Kentucky Derby (G1) winner Monarchos. She was consigned by Lane’s End, agent.

Baffert paid $400,000 for a colt from the first crop of Grade 1 winner Violence. Consigned by Taylor Made Sales Agency, agent, the colt is out of the graded stakes-placed With Approval mare Bala, and is a half-brother to Grade 2 winner Bay to Bay. 

Lane’s End Farm was the session’s leading consignor, selling 26 yearlings for $3,296,000.

The day’s leading buyer was Mike Ryan, agent, who spent $1,320,000 for six yearlings.

The September Sale continues through Sunday, Sept. 25, with all sessions beginning at 10 a.m. ET. The entire sale is streamed live at Keeneland.com.

Source: Keeneland Association

 

PA Derby 2016 is Saturday, Sept. 24!


PA Derby 2016 is Saturday, Sept. 24!

Pennsylvania Derby 2016

» PA Derby 2016 Contenders
» PA Derby Winners
» Get FREE Picks! 
» Get Trifecta/Superfecta Picks
» $20K Contest This Saturday!
» PLUS! Songbird vs Cathryn Sophia!

Pennsylvania Derby 2016


The 2016 Pennsylvania Derby (G2) will be run for an enhanced total purse of $1,250,000. An extra quarter million dollars will be added if Nyquist, the Kentucky Derby winner, and the Preakness first place finisher,Exaggerator, both start in the race. An unexpected full field of twelve three-year-olds was drawn to contest the nine-furlong stake at Parx Racing.



The owner and trainer of the Kentucky Derby, Preakness, Belmont Stakes, Haskell, and Travers winners are eligible for a $50,000 appearance bonus. Therefore, the connections of Nyquist receive a total of $100,000, while Exaggerator's connections receive $200,000 if they start.



With Nyquist and Exaggerator renewing their rivalry, the Pennsylvania Derby could have significant implications in this division’s year-end championship. Nyquist dominated the first five months when he continued his unbeaten career with a win in California, the Florida Derby, and then the biggest victory of all in the Kentucky Derby. Twice, in that time, he beat Exaggerator. However, Nyquist has not found the winner’s circle since then, while falling short in the Preakness and the Haskell. Exaggerator has been the division leader since then. In that time he defeated Nyquist two times in the Preakness and the Haskell.  A win for either of them would give that horse a secure spot on top of the divisional race.



The field of twelve appears to have an interesting pace scenario with a number of horses that like to run on or close to the lead. One thing seems certain is that with the quality of this PA Derby field the race will finally achieve grade one status in 2017. Carded as race 11, the scheduled post time is 5:45pm ET.



Awesome Slew [ML 12-1, Paco Lopez] This Eddie Plesa trainee proved that Parx is a track to his liking when he crushed a field of a field of fourteen by seven lengths in the Smarty Jones (G3). He will no doubt be running on the lead early with his rail draw. Rider Paco Lopez is at his best with horses on the lead, but they will not be the only ones running fast early. Major Early Pace Factor



Exaggerator [ML 7-2, Kent DesormeauxThe early weather reports for Bensalem, PA, say that rain is unlikely and thus a FAST track should be expected at Parx. At this point, it is hard to deny that Exaggerator is at his best on a wet track and that you have to go all the way back to last year to find his first two career wins that happened on a dry track. The inside draw will make it easy for Desormeaux to save ground early in the race as he often wants to do. The expected hot early pace should set up for Exaggerator’s big closing move. Perfect Set-up Expected



Summer Revolution [ML 20-1, Mike SmithThis lightly raced son of Summer Bird gets Mike Smith in the saddle after Castellano opted to ride Connect. Expect this colt to be on or near the lead and help ensure a hot early pace. Distance limitations and a lack of experience have this one up against it. Early Speed



Connect [ML 12-1, Javier CastellanoIn the Travers, Connect was a well-beaten sixth place finisher, but every horse was crushed when Arrogate blitzed that field. In the Curlin at Saratoga, Connect was impressive when he outdueled Gift Box. This is another that has done his best running close to the front, and with lots of speed inside of him, Castellano may be forced to work out a stalking or closing trip. Not Out of It



Cupid [ML 9-2, Rafael BejaranoOf all the top contenders, Cupid is in top form right now. After a bad performance in the Easy Goer, trainer Bob Baffert got Cupid right and he recorded two big wins in mid-major Derbies in Indiana and West Virginia. Bejarano was the rider in both of those wins, when he had everything his way on the front end. He will have company on the lead, but may be a lot better than the other speed horses. I hope that Bejarano sits just behind the others and gets the jump on the rest of the field. Threat to Win



Wild About Deb [ML 30-1, Tiago PereiraThis one has been stabled at Parx since a recent trainer change to Ramon Preciado. He ran second to Awesome Slew in the Smarty Jones well ahead of the next runner. He has just a maiden victory on the west coast to his credit. Long Shot



Gun Runner [ML 6-1, Florent Geroux]Except for his poor performance on the sloppy track in the Haskell, Gun Runner has yet to run a bad race. His stalking style fits perfectly considering the anticipated hot pace. He ran well in the Travers behind the Baffert duo when the ten furlongs was clearly not his forte. I expect this Steve Asmussen runner to make his usual strong effort down the stretch. Top Three Finish Expected



My Man Sam [ML 20-1, Julien LeparouxThis Chad Brown runner was a surprise addition to the field. With only a maiden win, he has been a bit of a disappointment since his big closing move to get second in the Blue Grass. I don’t know if he has the quality to win a race like this, but he certainly will have the set-up to make a late run. Pass Some Tired Horses



Nyquist [ML 5-2, Mario Guitierrez]No doubt that Nyquist is the horse to beat, but there are lots of questions that the Two-year-old Champion has to answer. Trainer Doug O’Neill has changed things up since Nyquist lost in the Preakness and Haskell taking him to train off track. O’Neill says Nyquist has grown and he has been working him over long distances. The move off track raises red flags for me, but I may be wrong. With so much speed to his inside, jockey Mario Gutierrez may have no alterative but to come from off the pace with Nyquist. That could turn out to be a good thing if the rider can remain patient. The One to Beat



Sunny Ridge [ML 15-1, Joe Bravo]Sunny Ridge is a bit of a mystery horse. His racing schedule has been spotty and he has just one slow five-furlong work since the Haskell. He has never run a bad race including his third place finish in the Haskell. This is very tough spot with the seeming laid-back training methods of Jason Servis. Top Four Possible



Discreet Lover [ML 30-1, Jose FloresAnother Parx based runner, but this one seems to be out of his league here. Eleven of his career sixteen starts have come at Parx including his two wins. Don’t Expect Much



Hit It Once More [ML 20-1, Kendrick CarmoucheThis New York-bred likes to run on the lead, so the far outside draw was the worst possible scenario. He has won two straight state restricted stakes for trainer Gary Sciacca, but this grade one is a very unlikely spot for success. Out Classed

Watch "Falcons vs. Raiders (Week 2 Preview) | Around the NFL Podcast" on YouTube

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Falcons vs. Raiders (Week 2 Preview) | Around the NFL Podcast

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Matt Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons battle Derek Carr and the Oakland Raiders. Check it out on Sunday, September 18, at 4:25pm ET.



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Comments • 105

Add a public comment...
Robert Kilgore
Who put these wanna be experts on tv?
9
ZeroSum23
It's a podcast...
1
Devin Young
I'm a Falcons fan, and we DEFINITELY need this game, but if our defense doesn't grow some balls and wrap up on tackles and get more aggressive, Raiders will win and we will be 0-2. (I honestly hope that both teams win at least 10 games this season)
2
Gursajan Singh
Falcons don't stand a chance with no pass rush and raiders o line best in NFL and also raiders defense going to play better Matt Ryan is no Brees
3
the real nightmare
lol matt ryan has 1 bad season and they say he is on the decline
6
brian vazquez
Trash?? haha THE RAIDERS WILL INDEFINITELY WIN ,, didnt THE SAINTS beat you guys last season and hand you guys 1st loss of season ?? hmm cant remember #townbidness
Eric Valdez
lol that was a good joke about matt ryan being in the cargo
BUC BALL - CRAB & EXTRA BUTTA
Falcons 17 Raiders 24
8
Go Big Blue
Falcons 22 Raiders 23
4
zeusgoesrawr
They played once every 4 years. Literally different team from top to bottom. But you know football. Lmao.
4
BirdGang
Raiders 35 Falcons 3
Shaun Diebel
Smh I swear. You can't be a fan if you lose all hope after the 1st game of the season.
BirdGang
+Shaun Diebel Chill fam, I'm just setting my expectations very low so that I'll feel much happier when we win.
GetPoopStuffed
Raiders 31 Falcons 24
13
Jeremiah Bryant
Falcons can we win , please ?
Golden Appl Gaming & Vlogs
this video has more likes than comments
Logic Gifter
almost every vid does
1
Ben Shainker
Every video does
misael serrato
SMH don't be confident remember what they was saying when we were facing saints that we havnt beat in a long time don't be negative you never know
young savage
Raiders win 2 0 start the season
1
Smooth Busta
Lmao last time raiders beat the falcons was 2000 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂 im pretty sure falcons are gonna win these old bastards never played in nfl so they dont know what they talking about
2
Isaiah Guillen
I doubt Matt Ryan puts up Brees number... maybe a 300 yard game. I think freeman and Coleman will combine for 100+ rushing yards. Oakland wins 27-17
luby rusev
Raiders 30-24
Smooth Busta
Lmao last time raiders beat the falcons was 2000 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂 im pretty sure falcons are gonna win these old bastards never played in nfl so they dont know what they talking about
Isaac Karisma
Raiders 28 Falcons 14
4
Kaneki & Touka
raiders win 38-21
1

Watch "Packers vs. Vikings (Week 2 Preview) | Around the NFL Podcast" on YouTube

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Packers vs. Vikings (Week 2 Preview) | Around the NFL Podcast

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Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers head to Minnesota to face off against Adrian Peterson and the vaunted Vikings defense. Check it out on Sunday, September 18, at 8:30pm ET.



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(69) HORSEPICKSBYBMD - Cappermetrics

Pick TypeWLUWPeUeWPROIZAOPAURADP
Moneyline191842.851.3525.9664.6323.391.18+160 4.952.31
Point Spread494412.5552.696.7453.652.420.25-107 5.583.10
Total2625-2.650.98-1.4751.88-0.96-0.07-107 5.322.68
Overall948752.7551.9329.4155.225.420.73 +107 5.386.03